(Edit: 2023-01-16) Don't just predict this one, please check out the other 12 travel predictions! Thanks! https://manifold.markets/group/scotts-cheap-flights-going-2023-pre

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Flights were more full throughout much of 2022 than they were pre-pandemic. I think we’ll see a reversion to the mean—with pent-up demand dissipating and flight volume increasing—and more empty seats as a result.

(70% confidence)

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This is question #5 from Scott Keyes' annual travel predictions at Scott's Cheap Flights (now Going).

Since Scott resolved and graded his 2022 predictions before the end of 2022, I am setting the close date ahead of the end of the year, to (try to) avoid a situation where he posts the resolutions before the market closes. In the event that his resolution post falls in 2024, my apologies in advance. If he hasn't posted resolutions at all by February 1, 2024, I will do my best to resolve them personally, and set N/A for any questions that I can't determine with outside (non-Going) source data.