Class of '26; currently in Platinum (promoted on 2024 Open). Decentish amount of competition math experience; have been grinding USACO relatively intensely lately.

Holsteins are the IOI selection group; Guernseys are everyone else.

In my opinion, 1 and 2 are decently likely, 3 is pretty unlikely, and 4 is impossible. [Ignore the "Other" option.]