How many people (from US) will promote to Platinum in the USACO First Contest 2026?
15
1kṀ4164
Jan 10
63 people
expected
6%
0 - 19
6%
20 - 29
9%
30 - 39
12%
40 - 49
11%
50 - 59
14%
60 - 69
14%
70 - 79
16%
80 - 89
8%
90 - 99
4%
100+

https://usaco.org/index.php

"... As part of these changes, we are moving all competitors currently in platinum into the gold division for the start of this competition season (the only students who will remain in platinum to begin this season are our 2025 IOI finalists as well as former finalists who performed at a comparable level in the past season)."

Some information:

  • Before this change, there was around 200 people with graduation year >=2026 in plat from US

  • Before this change, there was around 60 people with graduation year >=2027 in plat from US

  • An average of 25.5 people promoted each contest in the previous season (17, 12, 60, 14)

  • "certified" contest results for gold was introduced in the 2024-25 season

  • Gemini 3 Pro was released on November 18, 2025

This market will close (but not resolve) on 1/10 12:00 PM ET. I might reopen this after the contest window is over.

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I graduated a few years before thinking models blew up, so I always wondered what happened to USACO. Is it just full of cheaters now?

@spiderduckpig last year it turned out to be fine (even less promotions because certified was introduced), but the models also improved a lot over this year so not sure if this will result in much more promotions (hopefully ai wont be able to promote but its becoming increasingly hard to set such problems nowadays)

bought Ṁ10 YES

0-19 seems underrated considering last year

@fryan i feel its very likely that more than that will icp tho considering the number of ppl who are demoted

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