@AMANABOT is a trading bot created by @AntonMakiievskyi for the pupose of trading anonymously on manifold. Also see
/mckiev/bet-anonymously-and-get-free-mana-a
How well calibrated is the average AMANABOT user? Does anonymity help people make better bets because they don't have to worry about saving face or worse bets because you can YOLO your Mana away without embarrassment?
This market resolves to the calibration grade of @AMANABOT at market close June 30, 2024. If the grade is leaning towards another grade, I will resolve 20% to that grade. For example, "A-" resolves to 80% A, 20% B.
At the time of market creation, @AMANABOT has a calibration score of -22.6, grade F. You can check the calibration score and grade here:
Related questions
@HarrisonNathan I suppose manipulation is a concern in this market as long as the number of users the bot has is low.
@MartyDettmann Even if it's fairly high, calibration is easy to screw up with a large number of small trades.
@HarrisonNathan I don't know how the calibration score works tbh, is it not weighted by amount of mana bet?