Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026
52
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Jan 24
2%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' Doomsday Clock at https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/ is set to 60s to midnight or less by the end of January 2026.

Will the doomsday clock advance towards midnight?
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Nuclear Risk
Doomsday Clock
Doomsday
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Will the clock lean away from doomsday by 2040?

13 November 2026, of course!

They can't think the world is getting worse and worse forever. Some day the current era of pessimism will end. I suspect once the Ukraine war is over they will put the clock back a little.

@justifieduseofFallibilism Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds by 2027?

predictedNO

@NickAllenc961 what do you mean?

@justifieduseofFallibilism If the Doomsday Clock were to reach a minute to midnight by 2026, the clock would be 40 seconds to midnight by 2027?

@justifieduseofFallibilism Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

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