Will Kamala Harris LOSE the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats?
US Politics2024 US Presidential ElectionBest Dem Pres Cand
Basic
30
Ṁ4.3k
2025
15%
chance

This market resolves YES if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination AND goes on to lose the presidential election.

This market resolves NO if Kamala Harris does not win the nomination or is nominated and goes on to win the presidential election.

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Hedging my bet that biden doesn't die in office

Am I missing something as to why this would've been at 8%? It resolves NO if Kamala does not win the nomination, which is by far the most likely outcome yeah?

predicts YES

Unless I'm misunderstanding the resolution criteria?

Oh damn, reading comprehension!

predicts NO

I was just replying to you and carefully NOT taking your mana despite the temptation!

predicts NO

@MattP Let me know how I can change the wording to make it clearer.

@MartinRandall Nah its perfectly clear, it's just too late at night for me to be Manifolding. xD

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