Will a "pocket pardon" from a US president be revealed by end of 2024?
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The existence of the pardon must be revealed, but it's not necessary for the text of the pardon to be revealed. It can be a pardon from any president. Regular publicly declared pardons are excluded.
Jul 7, 7:29am: It's not necessary that the pardon be found constitutional for this market to resolve yes.
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@AngolaMaldives The supreme court has never ruled on it, so the answer is not known. My reading is that it works be found unconstitutional but it could still be an effective delaying tactic for a law-breaking president.
I would resolve this market "yes" if a pardon is revealed, without waiting to see if it would later be found unconstitutional.
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