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MANIFOLD
Which nail polish color will I like the most?
5
Ṁ960Ṁ207
resolved Aug 15
100%28%
ssie 350 Gala-vanting (maroonish red)
19%Other
0.6%
Red
0.0%
White
0.0%
Blue
0.7%
Black
0.0%
Silver
0.0%
Purple
0.0%
Green
0.0%
Fuchsia
0.0%
Yellow
0.0%
Navy
0.0%
Teal
0.0%
Gray
0.0%
Lime
0.0%
Olive
0.1%
Marroon
0.0%
Orange
0.0%
Glow in the dark, if it exists
26%
OPI olive green

I will buy the top few colors by probability and resolve to the one I like the most.

Small print: I won't bet in this market. I may skip colors that I know that I won't like. I may quasi-randomly extend the close date, or close it early, to avoid becoming whale bait.

Close date updated to 2022-08-01 11:59 pm

Aug 11, 6:17pm: I bought:

  • ssie 350 Gala-vanting (maroonish red)

  • OPI 302 Do you have this color in Stock-holm? (Middle shade purple)

  • OPI olive green

New suggestions will be ignored, only one of these three can now win.

Close date updated to 2022-08-18 11:59 pm

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@LivInTheLookingGlass Second choice, versatile, the best bottle.

@LivInTheLookingGlass Love the rich color.

Reopened market based on Discord feedback against closed markets. Will resolve when I decide.

Bought the top three. I thought about getting a generic red too, but I didn't like the first red search result and didn't want to give a competitive advantage to less precise suggestions.
Just gave several that start with a specific brand, then the color. You can find them at Meijer for sure, but presumably also Amazon or other stores. If not, finding them online will let you find a similar shade
Essie 350 Gala-vanting (maroonish red)
I was hoping for more specific color suggestions. If I was confident in my ability to pick out nice shades I wouldn't be asking for advice from a prediction market...
@MartinRandall maroon is definitely one to look at. In shirts it is probably closer to "wine red" or the like.