Will resolve yes if the VVD explicitly states (in the run up to the 2025 election) that they will not form a government with the PVV. Resolves no if no elections are held. Will resolve 50/50 if VVD excludes forming a government under PVV (as in a coalition where PVV is the largest party).
Update 2025-06-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if the VVD explicitly states they will not form a government with PVV at any point in the run-up to the 2025 election.
This condition is met even if the VVD later retracts that statement.
The creator has indicated that if such a statement has already been made by VVD, this could be grounds for a YES resolution based on the current criteria.
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@Siebe Good question. I guess that how the description if phrased implies that I should already resolve as yes since the VVD already has explicitly stated that they exclude PVV. Even when retracting, thy have stated so in the run up to the elections.