Will resolve yes if the VVD explicitly states (in the run up to the 2025 election) that they will not form a government with the PVV. Resolves no if no elections are held. Will resolve 50/50 if VVD excludes forming a government under PVV (as in a coalition where PVV is the largest party).

• Update 2025-06-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if the VVD explicitly states they will not form a government with PVV at any point in the run-up to the 2025 election.

  • This condition is met even if the VVD later retracts that statement.

  • The creator has indicated that if such a statement has already been made by VVD, this could be grounds for a YES resolution based on the current criteria.