Trump cabinet member leaves before UN Ambassador confirmation?
5
100Ṁ62
Dec 31
28%
chance

As of right now (7/31/2025), Trump's cabinet has been entirely confirmed, except for the role of UN Ambassador. Trump's current pick, Mike Waltz, is mired in scandal for his part in Signalgate, but seems to be (very slowly) making his way through the confirmation process. When will Waltz waltz in?

This market resolves YES if a cabinet member (as defined in this market) leaves before someone is confirmed to the position of UN Ambassador. It resolves NO if someone is appointed UN Ambassador before anyone leaves a cabinet position. It resolves N/A if we get a baffling edge case, or if the UN Ambassador is abolished as a senate-confirmed position.

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