If there is an October Surprise, which party will have the greatest % increase on Manifold 1 week later?
Plus
6
Ṁ378resolved Nov 5
ResolvedN/A
38%
"Democratic Party"
30%
"Republican Party"
15%
"Other"
18%
<1% change in percentage points for all parties
Which party will see the largest percentage point increase (>1 full percentage point) in this market:
One week after this market resolves yes?
If two parties have an increase in percentage points within 1 full percentage point, I'll resolve both to 50% (i.e., if Democratic Party sees a 5.0 percentage point increase and Other sees a 5.1 percentage point increase, I'll resolve both to 50% yes). If "Will there be an October Surprise" resolves No or N/A, this question will resolve N/A except in the result of a misresolution. In the event that any third party candidate is added to the Manifold Politics market, add third party and "other" together.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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