At the end of the year, will Manifold think 2024 went by quick?
Basic
3
Ṁ65Jan 1
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To be resolved with a poll after market close.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
At the end of 2024, will Manifold think 2024 was a particularly eventful year?
84% chance
At the end of 2024, will Manifold think 2024 was a good year for music?
65% chance
Will Manifold successfully predict the Time's Person of the Year 2024?
64% chance
Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?
63% chance
Will Manifold think that AI progress between Nov 2023-Oct 2024 will have been >= the progress between Nov 2022-Oct 2023?
51% chance
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
51% chance
A year from now, will Manifold think this prediction about the future of LLM's has held up?
59% chance
Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?
53% chance
Will my friend join Manifold before the end of 2024 and if he does, will he like it?
Manifold does FIRE - will I (@riggy) retire before the end of year X?