Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold account net worth (balance plus portfolio value) is at least 111,000 mana on October 3, 2026, at 18:14 Estonia time (15:14 UTC). Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Source of truth: The creator's public Manifold profile page and portfolio value history.

• Timing: The resolution will be determined based on the creator's net worth at exactly the specified minute (15:14 UTC). If the exact historical data for that minute is unavailable or contested, the closest recorded data point within 1 hour of the target time will be used.

Background

On Manifold, a user's net worth is calculated as the sum of their current mana balance and their total portfolio value (the value of their active shares in prediction markets). The creator is tracking their progress toward a milestone of 111,000 mana net worth on October 3, 2026.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.