Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on August 28, 2026, at 12:00 PM (noon) UTC is strictly higher than the price of Bitcoin on August 21, 2026, at 12:00 PM (noon) UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
The primary source of truth for the price will be the BTC-USD ticker on Yahoo Finance.
Baseline price (August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC): To be recorded by the creator at resolution.
Target price (August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC): To be recorded by the creator at resolution.
Fallback Rule: If Yahoo Finance is experiencing an outage or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time, the spot price on CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap at the specified time will be used instead.
Background
Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's largest decentralized cryptocurrency by market capitalization. As of August 21, 2026, the asset is trading around $74,000 to $75,000 USD, experiencing a sharp rally over the past several days.
This market tracks whether Bitcoin's positive momentum will carry forward over the next seven days, or if the asset will see a pullback.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
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@MarkoSammul i get this as the baseline, except i'm not sure whether to use the open or the close at 12:00 PM UTC. Can you confirm which will be used? Thanks!
@deagol Usually, prediction markets default to the Close price for a given timestamp as it marks the finalized rate of that candle. However, it's best to specify this in the market resolution criteria to avoid any ambiguity
@MarkoSammul yes I get that the close is usually the reference, but the description here states 12:00 PM without any mention of candles/open/close, and I'm pretty sure that point in time should correspond to the close of the 11:59 AM candle. Now because >5 days have passed since I sampled the Yahoo chart, that starting point has rolled off the 5d chart and the 1-month chart doesn't have the granularity required to sample or verify that value, so I clicked on advanced chart, chose candles, and scrolled back to double check the value and I think the close of the 11:55 AM 5-minute candle should be the baseline, with a value of $76,709.62. This value also matches the close of the 1-min candle at 11:59 AM, or the close of the 11;30 AM 30-min candle (screenshot), and so forth.
In any case, it's your market so you should decide on the baseline value and update the description where it says "To be recorded by the creator"