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MANIFOLD
Which main character, if any, will die during Ant-Man: Quantumania?
12
Ṁ680Ṁ2.5k
resolved Apr 9
100%98.9%
NO, neither Ant-Man nor The Wasp will die
0.5%
YES, Ant-Man or The Wasp will die (inclusive)
0.1%
YES, both Ant-Man and The Wasp will die
0.1%
YES, Ant-Man will die
0.1%
YES, The Wasp will die
0.3%
Subsidy

Resolves to all correct statements in proportion to their specificity (ex: saying both will die is more specific than that just Ant-Man will die)

  • Single yes gets 2 shares

  • Double yes or double no gets 4 shares

  • Predicting any death gets 1 share

This market is not automatable, but it will ping me to resolve it on market close. I have intentionally set that to 1 week after release in my area. Note that that means if you see it earlier than me you get free money.

Close date updated to 2023-02-28 12:00 am

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I am using my moderation permissions to resolve this market on behalf of the creator. This is according to the Manifold Markets unresolved markets policy found here: https://help.manifold.markets/unresolved-markets

If the creator returns and wishes to change the resolution, please reply to this comment and tag DavidChee. The admins will then undo the resolution I chose and you may pick your desired resolution.

Reading the description I don't see an unambiguous resolution, so if Olivia doesn't return I think it should probably resolve N/A. Thoughts?

@IsaacKing neither died, so the shares per death in the description doesn't apply. There's only one correct answer, which is why it closed at 99%

@PatMyron Ah, I see.

(for context, the movie was released weeks before the close date)

@LivInTheLookingGlass can you resolve this?

Is this going to resolve any time soon? Would quite like my mana back please!

Can resolve now

Why is this in the Free Money group? Have spoilers about ant man leaked?