Presupposing that there are these types of love, what share of the love song market is covered by each of combination of them?
7
580Ṁ116
resolved Sep 13
32%44%
Romantic + Sexual
21%20%
Sexual
18%20%
Romantic
9%6%
Familial
7%4%
Romantic + Familial
7%3%
Familial + Sexual
7%3%
Romantic + Sexual + Familial

This market is purely intended as a poll to try and settle an argument. It will resolve to MKT. Try to weight this by popularity, rather than a raw count. The unit here should be 'percent of hours listened'

This market will resolve if any of the following are true:

- If the current time is past 2022-09-13 11:59:59

It will resolve based on the following decision tree:

- If the human operator agrees:

--- Resolves to the current market value.

- Otherwise, a manually provided value

Note that the bot operator reserves the right to resolve contrary to the purely automated rules to preserve the spirit of the market. All resolutions are first verified by the human operator.

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Strange. Apparently my market resolution script is incorrect, but I don't understand how it reached the values it did. It literally is weighting by Manifold's reported probabilities

Oh fudge, I had multiple choice markets selecting based on pool value, not probability, because the API does not report that.

@Austin, any idea why the answers field is not exported in multiple choice markets? It would be really neat if it were, since otherwise I need to re-implement the dpm-2 math

mkt is a bad resolution.
Personally I think it's about 40% romance + sex, 40% just sex, 15% just romance, 5% just family, <1% family + something else.

ime most songs containing romantic love also contain sexual love. but there are plenty of songs with just sexual love

Taylor Swift is mostly Romantic, and a little Romantic + Sexual, like 90/10. Carly Rae Jepsen is pretty evenly split on R+S and R, I think. Lady Gaga is maybe 50/25/25 on R+S, R, S? Less sure on her. Anyone got other examples? I just looked at some track listings as a refresher.

@horse I expect the sum total of anything including Familial to be under 5%.

@horse How do you draw the line?

@MichaelWheatley There was no hard line drawn, just going off what I know the meanings of their various songs to be. If the lyrics are entirely about sex and pleasure without mention of romantic elements/love/feelings, then it'd be S, if it mentions romance and love but no sensuality, then R, etc.

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