What will Kamala Harris’s exact vote share be in California in the 2024 election? (Margin of Victory Challenge Mode)
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17
Ṁ17kresolved Dec 4
100%93%
<59%
1.5%
[59%-60%)
1.3%
[60%-61%)
0.5%
[61%-61.5%)
0.4%
[61.5%-62%)
0.4%
[62%-62.5%)
0.4%
[62.5%-63%)
0.4%
[63%-63.5%)
0.4%
[63.5%-64%)
0.4%
[64%-64.5%)
0.4%
[64.5%-65%)
0.4%
[65%-66%)
0.4%
[66%-67%)
0.4%
67% or more
Probably the hardest margin of victory market I’ve designed. Buckets in half-percentage points.
Previous 4 elections: 61%, 60.2%, 61.7%, 63.5%.
Based on DDHQ. Including third parties.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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