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MANIFOLD
What will Harris’s national popular vote be? (choices in millions)
43
Ṁ1.7kṀ26k
resolved Nov 28
Resolved
YES
64 million or more
Resolved
YES
66 million or more
Resolved
YES
68 million or more
Resolved
YES
70 million or more
Resolved
YES
72 million or more
Resolved
YES
74 million or more
Resolved
NO
87 million or more
Resolved
NO
86 million or more
Resolved
NO
85 million or more
Resolved
NO
84 million or more
Resolved
NO
83 million or more
Resolved
NO
82 million or more
Resolved
NO
80 million or more
Resolved
NO
78 million or more
Resolved
NO
77 million or more
Resolved
NO
76 million or more
Resolved
NO
75 million or more

According to DDHQ

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Not sure it matters for the purposes of this market, but looks like Harris is going to break 75M once all counting is done: https://www.cookpolitical.com/vote-tracker/2024/electoral-college

Does this resolve on the current close date of 11/26, or when CA finishes counting?

@CraigDemel This will be the last extension.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@MarkHamill Resolves YES

Combined with the Trump market, the median prediction for both is 82 to 73 million, which would be a ~5.8% popular vote win. Yesterday it got as high as 7%.

The people demand more, so I added higher choices!

Kinda bad phrasing, "in millions" means that the option "80 million or more" means "80 million million votes or more"

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