After recent controversies, will the admission rate for Harvard, MIT, and Penn be higher than last year?
23
1kṀ4592
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
Harvard’s admit rate will be higher
Resolved
NO
MIT’s admit rate will be higher
Resolved
NO
Penn’s admit rate will be higher

MIT, Harvard, and Penn were famously in the news for having their presidents lambasted at a Congressional hearing for alleged anti semitism on their campuses. In the past, negative attention in the press on campus conditions such as crime or sexual misconduct has led to temporary declines in applications, which result in higher admission rates. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-02/jewish-students-skip-harvard-penn-applications-after-hamas-israel-controversy

This market is about whether each of the undergraduate schools will have a higher ADMIT RATE than reported in 2023.

MIT: 4.80% admitted in 2023 https://mitadmissions.org/apply/process/stats/

Penn: 5.84% admitted https://www.thedp.com/article/2023/12/penn-early-decision-results-class-of-2028#:~:text=At%20a%20Board%20of%20Trustees,48%20states%20and%2097%20countries.

Harvard: 3.41% accepted https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2023/3/31/admissions-decisions-2027/#:~:text=Harvard%20College%20admitted%203.41%20percent,cycle%20at%207%20p.m.%20Thursday

I may add more schools if there’s enough interest. They don’t need to be necessarily Israel/Palestine related, just if people expect a substantial difference from last year.

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