This market resolves to YES iff anyone who trades on it (bots not included) correctly guesses the total number of traders (after the market has closed) in a comment under this market. I will only consider a trader’s first guess as valid, i.e. it’s not possible for a trader to guess multiple numbers.
If such a trader exists, I will pay them out a 50 mana bonus for their correct guess (in the case of multiple comments with the same guess, I will pay out the bonus to the first such comment; only people who have traded on this market are eligible for this tiebreaker).
I won’t bet on this market to avoid changing the total by +1 at any point.
1,000@mods can you please make this market publically listed? I don't know why it got delisted and I can't toggle the setting myself.
@MarinHristov as per https://manifold.markets/community-guidelines/market-policies, self-resolving markets are never guaranteed to be safe from unlisting. I've been battling a flood of them for months now, so I've grown weary and cynical. you won't be able to convince me
@MarinHristov Hopefully once we finish a few more discoverability tweaks we should be able to allow more/all markets of this type, bc they will not show up so often when unwanted. Work in progress!
@Stralor First time hearing about this, will be aware of this when making future markets. What are some examples of previous self-resolving markets that caused issues?
@MarinHristov the issue is mostly quantity and quality, not content. there have been some big blow up ones, of course. I'm just trying to keep the tide at bay. Thanks for taking this in stride, I've been pissing off a lot of users over it recently.
@Stralor But the shorthand is: there's nothing wrong with these markets per se, they are just never safe from getting extra scrutiny like this.