Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15?
110
1.9kṀ83k
resolved Oct 3
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy remains Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives without interruption from September 13 through October 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Kevin McCarthy or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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predictedNO

IT'S JOEVER KEVIN

predictedNO

Lol. Funniest political event of the year. Maybe be topped later today.

7/5 keep huffing believers

predictedNO

8/5*

predictedNO

8/4*

LOL

Thank you Mr. McCarthy.

Your patriotic work to avert a shutdown costed me 700 mana, but your sacrifice made me 500 back.

You'll be remembered as a small piece of my brier score that is overall neutral, but caused some Volatility.

🫡

predictedNO

McCarthy should take Gaetz out back and beat the shit out of him while he still has immunity. I hate Kevin McCarthy, but Matt Gaetz needs a spanking for forgetting his place. Any other Speaker in history would be saved from the humiliation. This is more embarrassing than a shutdown ever could have been.

@BTE LMAO

predictedNO

@SemioticRivalry is Scalise even in the District? Or is he in Louisiana? Can the next person elected speaker demand changes to the rules governing the 118th Congress and eliminate this single vote nonsense. Like has this ever happened before in the history of the Congress? A single member vacating the chair with no clear or even interested successor???

predictedNO

@Joshua He might kick his own ass tonight when he gets home.

@Joshua Lmaooo

@SemioticRivalry I never thought I would say this again but Newt is right about big hair, he needs to be expelled before the house adjourns.

@BTE I'm pretty sure they'd get every democratic vote and the special election would elect a republican so why not

Ugh I misunderstood the earlier CSPAN vote and did my math wrong and thought somehow McCarthy could survive 8 votes against, due to the number of dem absences, but actually he can only survive 5 or 6. Lost like 300 mana.

predictedNO

@BenjaminShindel That is terrible. Please let me know if you need a mana loan so your family does not go hungry.

@MarcusAbramovitch Look at the order book, it’s basically illiquid

@EliLifland a few minutes ago, you could have bought NO at 50c

predictedNO

@MarcusAbramovitch I think it’s most informative to look at activity here

predictedYES
predictedYES
predictedNO

@EliLifland Yes but not much, and before that people sold yes at 15c or something

predictedNO

@EliLifland It’s all very low volume, like $5

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