Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2026?
Basic
26
Ṁ2518
resolved Dec 13
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bashar al-Assad remains in power as the President of Syria until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. "In power" is defined as Assad still officially holding the office of the President of Syria, as confirmed by reliable sources such as verified news outlets or official government statements. If Assad is no longer holding the office for any reason, the market will resolve to "No". If Assad departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

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Should this resolve no? "Until" and "remains in power" implies a continual control that is incompatible with the collapse of his government.

resolves no

On a scale of 1 to 10, to what extent will Assad experience torture before he dies?

Where Saddam Hussein is a 1 and Gadaffi is a 5

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