Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict by July 15th 2024?
47
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850
Jul 17
15%
chance

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another sovereign nation officially declares war on either Israel or Hamas by July 15 2024, ET. Declarations of war must be clear, explicit, and from a sovereign nation. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date. Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market. Further note if e.g. Hezbollah declared war, it will not satisfy a “Yes” resolution - only Lebanon itself declaring war will suffice.

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