Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the market reaches 50 or more unique traders by 11:59 PM UTC on March 31, 2026. A unique trader is defined as a distinct user account that has placed at least one trade (buy or sell order) in this market. The resolution will be verified through the platform's trader count metric at market close.

Background

Prediction markets typically see trading activity concentrated among active users, with participation varying based on market visibility, topic relevance, and promotional efforts. Markets about market participation itself tend to have lower baseline engagement compared to markets about external events, as they require traders to have awareness of and interest in the specific market's performance.

Considerations

The outcome of this market is self-referential—traders betting YES are directly contributing to the condition they're predicting. This creates an unusual dynamic where participation in the market itself influences resolution, potentially attracting traders interested in this reflexive property while also potentially deterring those who view it as circular.

This description was generated by AI.