Will the Drug Enforcement Administration announce that it is going to reschedule marijuana? If so, when?
Basic
22
Ṁ8390resolved May 16
100%95%
In April, May, or June
0.8%
In July or August
0.6%
In September
0.5%
In October, or November 1st-4th
3%
Not before Election Day
This market resolves to time period in which the Drug Enforcement Administration announces that it intends to remove Marijuana from its current Schedule I Drug status.
This would likely be in the form of a Notice of Proposed Rule-making, after which there would be some weeks or months for the public to comment on the proposed rule. This market resolves based on when the initial DEA announcement is made, regardless of what happens after that or how long it takes.
If there is no such announcement before November 5th, this market resolves to "Not before Election Day".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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