This market resolves YES if North Dakota Measure 2 (Initiated Constitutional Measure No. 2 (funding of school lunches; new section to Article VIII)) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Simple majority of votes cast on the measure (SOS guide: 'a majority vote would result in passage')

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: State funds one free breakfast and lunch daily for students at participating schools (SOS guide).

• NO: No state funding beyond current free and reduced-price meal eligibility (SOS guide).

Results: resolves on the result certified by North Dakota State Canvassing Board. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.sos.nd.gov/sites/default/files/documents/elections/measures/ballot-language-2026-general-measure2.pdf