This market resolves YES if New Mexico Amendment 1 (Proposing an amendment to Article 4, Section 22 of the Constitution of New Mexico to require the governor to provide veto messages on all bills vetoed in whole or in part and to provide that all bills passed by the legislature and not acted on by the governor will become law.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Simple majority of votes cast on the question (N.M. Const. art. XIX §1); SOS guide: none of the 2026 amendments needs the three-fourths supermajority

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Bills the governor does not act on become law; veto explanations required.

• NO: Governor keeps the pocket veto for bills presented in the session's last three days.

Results: resolves on the result certified by New Mexico State Canvassing Board. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.sos.nm.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/2026-Voter-Guide-English.pdf