Tensions are high in the US Capitol, the Speaker of the House between a rock and a hard place trying to prevent a government shutdown.

When this happened in October, then-speaker Kevin McCarthy defied the most conservative members of his party and worked with Democrats to pass funding for the federal government. Shortly after, there was a "motion to vacate the chair", a vote which removed Kevin McCarthy from power. Under the current rules any single member of the House can call for such a vote.

Representatives Marjorie Taylor Green and Chip Roy said in January that removing Johnson was "on the table". But so far, no one has made the threat directly.

If any Republican member of the House does directly and publicly threaten Johnson with a motion to vacate before April, this market resolves Yes. Proof must be posted in the comments, and it must be an overt threat from a named Republican Member. An implied threat, like saying it's on the table, is not enough.

If no such threat is made before April 1st, this market resolves No.

Note that these resolution rules may be updated to best reflect the spirit of the question, please leave a comment if you have any suggestions for doing so.