Appreciate the donations on Dem party here the past couple days everyone 🫡

Iowa voters when a Black person is at the top of the ticket

@TiredCliche Iowa voted for Obama, twice. They liked Trump for the last two elections but that's not a guarantee they will support him again. They take democracy very seriously and Trump statements claiming this will be the last democratic election in the US can't be popular.

1992 - Clinton

1996 - Clinton

2000 - Gore

2004 - Bush

2008 - Obama

2012 - Obama

2016 - Trump

2020 - Trump

@becauseyoudo Clinton, Obama, and Harris, all Black. Gore an outlier

@becauseyoudo Trump actually said this will be the last democratic election? Didn't he only say it would be the last one if he were not elected?

@TiredCliche they voted for Bill Clinton AND Obama!!!

Ann Selzer just committed reputational seppuku. LMAO

@BrandonRoney intellectual honesty is commendable, rather than withholding outliers. Even if they’re entirely wrong they’ve shown themselves to be more honest than almost any other firm.

@cadca The poll crosstabs are insane and contradict common sense. Biden +5 recall vote in Iowa? Total trash.

@BrandonRoney yet another poorly-educated Trump voter… pity that y’all have ruined prediction markets this year

@cadca Shouldn't you be thanking me for making you money by being wrong? I mean all of these election markets will resolve soon...

@BrandonRoney not eligible for sweepstakes, sadly, so I’m taking money from your peers elsewhere

I found out the Selzer poll was released by seeing the price of this market.

SELZER POLL (most reliable pollster): HARRIS+3.

craziness

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

Omg Selzer

Kennedy will be on the presidential ballot in Iowa.