Which of these swing states will have a split ticket? (Voting for different parties for President and Senator/Governor)

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Ṁ6451

Nov 11

38%

Wisconsin (Presidency and Senate)

28%

Pennsylvania (Presidency and Senate)

36%

Nevada (Presidency and Senate)

81%

Arizona (Presidency and Senate)

26%

Michigan (Presidency and Senate)

59%

North Carolina (Presidency and Governorship)

56%

New Hampshire (Presidency and Governorship)

10%

Maryland (Presidency and Senate)

In the 2024 election, the states listed in this market are generally considered competitive in both the presidential race and the Governor/US Senate races.

For this market, a split ticket is defined as when a presidential candidate from one party wins a state while a candidate from another party wins the race for Governor or US Senate.

All states that have a split ticket outcome resolve Yes, all others resolve No.

Check out the Swing States Dashboard for current market odds on each of these races.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Swing States

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#️ Politics

#US Senate

#Governors 24

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I could see NC being the most likely of these.

For some reason AZ polls are great for Trump and horrible for Lake

@FoxKHTML All the polls are currently good for Trump, which probably says more about how people feel towards Biden (they still don't like Trump). So it's not too surprising that Lake is behind while Trump is ahead.

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