Will Manifold markets have 250 Daily Active Users in May?
15
374
แน€109
resolved Jun 4
Resolved
NO
In our last team meeting we set a goal of hitting 300 daily active users by then end of May (or 200 if we don't end up doing much outreach). I'm going to split the difference and put 250 for this question. This isn't an average, having 250 daily active users on any day will resolve the market with YES. You can find the analytics here: https://manifold.markets/analytics
Get แน€200 play money

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bought แน€71 of NO
Highest DAU so far was 160, on a day that was an extreme outlier. Unlikely to have another day 1.5x as good within 2 weeks. Would be happy to be proven wrong.
predicted YES
We've had about ~100 DAU; click on the "Daily" tab on the first graph here: https://manifold.markets/analytics
bought แน€100 of YES
How many daily users does manifold have currently?
1000 daily users or bust.
bought แน€50 of YES
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