Will anyone be disqualified from the CSPI tournament?
18
277
540
resolved Nov 20
Resolved
NO

Context: https://www.cspicenter.com/p/da07f63c-9083-4c31-bb7b-d9c42ac3ccd5
Rule 9. states that:

I [Richard Hanania] reserve the right to disqualify anyone trying to “hack” the tournament or somehow play unfairly. I don’t anticipate this happening, but there may be ways to potentially game the system that we haven’t thought of.

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Resolving on behalf of inactive creator (lol). This article mentions no disqualifications, and no one has commented about a disqualification in the comments, so I think this is a NO.

At this point there is only one plausible DQ and that is @1941159478 , there are only 8 players even playing the game at this point and it's gonna be hard to make those 8 agree on some deal that results in a DQ

predicted NO

@ussgordoncaptain Related market:

Though for the record I do try to play fair and subjectively feel implausible :)

predicted NO

@1941159478 yeah it literally was that specific statement that might make hannania leery. nothing else

It’s a trading competition meant to be a forecasting competition — with zero API but likely the means to access it programmatically.

Not participating but suspect they’ll be less than thrilled that profits derive from market making versus probability accuracy. (there are ways around this, such as a daily auction for all trade-clearing, and e.g. a seven day opening auction as well, but as is I doubt the wordcel sponsors intend to reward first prize to the trade rotator who wins)

@Gigacasting What do you mean by market making? Users on that platform can’t create new markets from what I can tell…

predicted YES

@Gigacasting I'm not sure they will "disqualify" anyone - trading is allowed so why not - but I definitely think buying and selling of "shares" is not how the people behind it were picturing it. It was supposed to be prediction-competition after all.

@dglid Market making is a trading term for when you make money by putting limit orders immediately above and below the average price, so that you make money smoothing out the small fluctuations. I see the cause for confusion, given we're on a website that potentially gives you lots of mana when you create markets.

@Gigacasting Why do you say zero API? At least the /markets endpoint works fine for me.