Will 2022 will be warmer than 2021?
58
264Ṁ2176resolved Mar 30
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022
Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@StevenK Vox links to NOAA's June data, so you could take "according to Vox's judgment" to refer to NOAA's full year data linked above.
@StevenK Oops, I just saw Kelsey's comment below, which also refers to NOAA, so I think a YES resolution would be correct.
The updated vox future perfect's predictions:
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2022/12/31/23509593/2022-predictions-macron-bolsanaro-covid-inflation-unemployment-climate-change-olympics
@ManifoldMarkets Yes, just adding the link for other people's reference, sorry should have mentioned that. I have no opinion on how it should resolve.
@ManifoldMarkets In my opinion, KP is wrong to suggest this was an easy win, considering how close 2022 ended up being to 2021.