Will 2022 will be warmer than 2021?
Basic
58
Ṁ2176resolved Mar 30
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022
Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@StevenK Vox links to NOAA's June data, so you could take "according to Vox's judgment" to refer to NOAA's full year data linked above.
@StevenK Oops, I just saw Kelsey's comment below, which also refers to NOAA, so I think a YES resolution would be correct.
The updated vox future perfect's predictions:
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2022/12/31/23509593/2022-predictions-macron-bolsanaro-covid-inflation-unemployment-climate-change-olympics
@ManifoldMarkets Yes, just adding the link for other people's reference, sorry should have mentioned that. I have no opinion on how it should resolve.
@ManifoldMarkets In my opinion, KP is wrong to suggest this was an easy win, considering how close 2022 ended up being to 2021.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
99% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
55% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
97% chance
Will 2024 be even hotter than 2023? 🥵
98% chance
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
35% chance
Will 2024 be Boston's warmest year?
59% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
38% chance
will 2030 be hotter than 2023?
73% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
39% chance
Will 2024 be better than 2023?
63% chance