How many new signups will Manifold have at the end of launch day?
10
16
resolved Feb 11
Resolved as
9%
This market resolves to a probability between 0% and 100%; each 1% represents 5 new signups to Manifold Markets by end of day PT on launch day (2022-02-09). For background, Manifold had 541 signups before launch; you can see daily user activity at https://manifold.markets/analytics Feb 10, 9:09pm: Final value was 47! Resolving to 9%.
Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ204
2Ṁ157
3Ṁ32
4Ṁ15
5Ṁ3
2 Comments
12 Trades
Sort by:
bought Ṁ2 of NO
https://www.producthunt.com/posts/manifold-markets https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EkJ5rBk2SRqwYjBi9/create-a-prediction-market-in-two-minutes-on-manifold https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qcYu6fMb6qg4zcftn/create-a-prediction-market-in-two-minutes-on-manifold https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30275860
bought Ṁ5 of YES
Places we've posted to:

Related questions