How many new signups will Manifold have at the end of launch day?
Basic
10
Ṁ1362
resolved Feb 11
Resolved as
9%
This market resolves to a probability between 0% and 100%; each 1% represents 5 new signups to Manifold Markets by end of day PT on launch day (2022-02-09). For background, Manifold had 541 signups before launch; you can see daily user activity at https://manifold.markets/analytics Feb 10, 9:09pm: Final value was 47! Resolving to 9%.
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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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https://www.producthunt.com/posts/manifold-markets https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EkJ5rBk2SRqwYjBi9/create-a-prediction-market-in-two-minutes-on-manifold https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qcYu6fMb6qg4zcftn/create-a-prediction-market-in-two-minutes-on-manifold https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30275860
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