Now that manifold.markets/tv is here, it's so easy to do a futarchic gaming stream that it's gotten me (@NcyRocks) to actually set it up!
Here's the plan:
I'll play Slay the Spire for the first time.
You can help me win by betting on which decisions will lead to victory!
You can also bet here on random crap!
I don't have to do whatever the market says, but the idea is to see how well I can do at a challenging new game using only prediction markets.
Watch here: https://manifold.markets/tv/16
Huge thanks to everyone who watched, especially those who helped me out ( including @Joshua @Austin @SneakySly @AmmonLam @snazzlePop)! I had a lot of fun and got further in the Daily Climb than I expected, so I’ll schedule another time to try finish that run as well as I can.
I also feel like I barely scratched the surface of what Manifold TV is capable of, so let me know if you have any ideas for how to make the next stream better!
@ManifoldLive This is a rough thing to say post-stream without it being mentioned in the description. Why wouldn't it be a conditional? I assumed everything had to happen this weekend because of the title.
@Panfilo Good point, I apologise for the ambiguity. This is based on my interpretation of options that others added - I think it should be up to them how it resolves.
But you’re right, the market title implies that anything that didn’t happen in this stream should resolve NO.
@Panfilo I offloaded 2 decisions to the markets, but one of them just said that the choice didn't matter, so I only really made one decision based off markets.
@NcyRocks I didn't intend for it to (didn't think about the fact that i was wording it with a plural), but the wording does make it sound that way, uh I don't think my intent supersedes the spirit of the question ig
@Bayesian Hey it would be a fascinating discord convo with the mods as to whether plural can mean one, I bet we’d get some weirdos, I’m not even kidding
@shankypanky So if they rule against me I can search the site for absent creators who used plural and troll them until they realize the error of their ways