This market is part of Manifold's 2023 Predictions, a group of forecasts about what's in store for Manifold this year. Markets will be resolved by the Manifold core team.

To measure page hits across competitors, we plan on using Similarweb. Note that as of Dec 2022, we had eclipsed Metaculus, Polymarket, and Kalshi, but Predictit beat us all:

[Update 2023-10-06, by Austin]: This question resolves based on what Similarweb says about the number of visits made in the month of December, not the 3 month period Oct-Dec, despite what the default Similarweb screenshots show.