If we open source our frontend codebase, how many meaningful contributions will we get in the first 30 days?
27
100Ṁ1116
resolved Aug 22
Resolved as
20%
"Meaningful contribution" will be fairly subjective, but it could look like "pull request that clearly took more than 1 hour of effort" or "catching and reporting serious bug". We'll use the PROB resolution mechanism, with each 5% = 1 meaningful contribution. Note that this question closes in 2 weeks, but we won't resolve this market until the end of the year (with up to a 30-day extension into Jan 30 2023 if we open source our codebase on New Year's Eve.) Feb 13, 5:00pm: the question actually closes in 4 weeks Feb 18, 2:10pm: - If open sourced before Jan 1 2023: resolution will be 30d after open source date - If not: resolve to N/A on Jan 1 2023 Close date updated to 2022-04-13 11:59 pm Close date updated to 2022-04-30 11:59 pm
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