Eliezer Yudkowsky has been a noted proponent of prediction markets and active user on Manifold. We've invited him to come to Manifest; he's been ambivalent, specifically citing an uncertainty about his desire to travel during September. Will he decide to come, in the end?
Resolves to YES if Eliezer attends our conference (whether he speaks or not).
Caveat emptor: Eliezer is known to insider trade on markets about him...
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@chrisjbillington Could just be a humanoid AI impersonating him. He warned us plenty. I'd wait till the results of the body examination come out.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Rich Sutton and Eliezer Yudkowsky debate at Manifest 2025
25% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on the DarkHorse Podcast by 2025?
8% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Destiny have another in-depth discussion before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on the Mindscape podcast by the end of 2024?
6% chance