MANIFOLD
Will the US strike Iran by the end of 4/20?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ50
Apr 20
40%
chance

In this market, a “strike” refers specifically to U.S. missiles, drones, or aircraft delivering munitions that hit physical targets inside Iran. This market asks whether that threshold is crossed by 4/20 2026 Iranian time (GMT+3:30)

This market will be resolved to credible sources

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