Will the US strike Iran by the end of 4/20?
37
Ṁ100Ṁ2.7kresolved Mar 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In this market, a “strike” refers specifically to U.S. missiles, drones, or aircraft delivering munitions that hit physical targets inside Iran. This market asks whether that threshold is crossed by 4/20 2026 Iranian time (GMT+3:30)
This market will be resolved to credible sources
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ570 | |
| 2 | Ṁ130 | |
| 3 | Ṁ81 | |
| 4 | Ṁ79 | |
| 5 | Ṁ35 |