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MANIFOLD
In which country will Tesla build its next factory?
5
Ṁ285Ṁ165
2027
7%
India
3%
Japan
5%
South Korea
72%
United States of America
13%
Other

Feel free to add other countries

Resolution Criteria:

  • The official announcement of building a new factory should have come after April 21, 2024. (Indian Standard Time in case of discrepancy)

  • It doesn't matter what the factory produces. (i.e. cars, battery, other parts)

  • If Tesla announces more than one factory in different countries at the same time, the market will resolve in favour of the first operational factory. Otherwise, the market will resolve in favour of the country for which the announcement was made first.

  • It does not matter if the country already has an operational Tesla factory.

  • Duplicates will be resolved as N/A.

Current list of countries where Tesla has a factory can be found here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Tesla_factories

Will extend trading period, if required.

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I am struggling to find any new building announcements after claim creation April 2024 and before the recent terafab announcement
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-terafab-ai-chip-factory/

However it is possible there are other minor buildings for batteries / solar or something I have missed. I think building extensions may have happened or are at least possibilities but I assume these wouldn't count, needing to be a complete, new (to Tesla), building.

While above link says
"While there has been no official announcement on where Tesla plans to break ground on the massive Terafab, all signs point to the North Campus of Giga Texas in Austin."

This location seems fairly well confirmed:
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2035745505322635529
No, that’s just the little advanced technology fab, where we will be iterating on chip designs. We couldn’t possibly fit the Terafab on the GigaTexas campus. It will be far bigger than everything else combined there. Several locations for Terafab are under consideration. It needs thousands of acres and over 10GW of power at full scale.

https://electrek.co/2026/03/24/tesla-giga-texas-site-plan-ecological-paradise-terafab-north-campus-travis-county/
Tesla has filed new site plans with Travis County detailing a significant expansion of its Giga Texas campus, including the long-promised “ecological paradise” along the Colorado River and infrastructure for the recently announced Terafab North Campus.

The filings, which include a permit application for “Tesla North Campus” submitted to the Travis County Fire Marshal on March 13, reveal the scope of Tesla’s ambitions for a campus that already stretches across 2,500 acres in southeast Austin.

Are there earlier buildings announced after claim creation, and if not is this enough to resolve to USA?

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