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MANIFOLD
When will Baby Ocean first walk more than 3 feet
9
Ṁ200Ṁ885
resolved Oct 4
Resolved
September 16-30, 2025
100%45%
September 16-30, 2025
1.4%
June 21-30, 2025
1.7%
July 1-15, 2025
1.1%
July 16-31, 2025
12%
August 1-15, 2025
6%
August 16-31, 2025
33%
September 1-15, 2025

Baby Ocean was born last August, mastered crawling in May, and is now a keen climber. But when will she walk?

This market closes the first time she takes enough steps in a row to travel at least 3 feet.

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CLOSED with the latest option, although it was actually Oct 2 or 3 (according to my wife – I first witnessed it today, Oct 4!)

As noted elsewhere in comments, I was confused how to redo it but that feels close enough especially since it wasn't like November.

bought Ṁ10 NO

Walking still hasn't happened. She's gotten better at climbing and at standing on her own.

How does it resolve if it hasn't happened by the end of September?

sold Ṁ5 YES

@TheAllMemeingEye I'm not sure - this is my first time making a date-based market and it just autogenerated these buckets. If you have ideas how to fix it I'm interested. I'd be happy to just have it have as many more buckets as it needs, like there could be a rolling "later" bucket that appears when it's < 3 months out or something. yo @Austin new idea for you 😛

@MalcolmOcean in the current numeric market you'd just buy the latest bucket. You can rename it 'sept 16 or later'