Will OpenAI add image generation capabilities to its o1/o3/... series models before 2026?
14
100Ṁ403
2026
75%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that OpenAI has added and publicly released (true multimodal) image generation capabilities to its o1/o3/... series models before January 1st 2026.

Note that if OpenAI rolls its o* and GPT-* models into a common neural network backbone, then this question resolves as YES only if the image tokens are produced by this model. Using an intermediate text representation and dispatching this to a surrogate model does not count.

Access to these capabilities must be available in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date.

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