Will a model get 1500 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before July 2025?
7
100Ṁ124Jul 1
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a model has achieved 1500 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before July 1st 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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