Will a model get 1500 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before July 2025?
16
100Ṁ1502
Jul 1
1.3%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a model has achieved 1500 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before July 1st 2025.

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Looks like their new website UI (better visuals, fewer numbers) shows the style control version.

Which one is used for this market?

boughtṀ30YES

@NebulaByte do you wanna bet more on YES? i'm willing to bet more on NO

@Bayesian I'm very poor

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://x.com/lmarena_ai/status/1930658518560133435

https://x.com/lmarena_ai/status/1904581128746656099/photo/1

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