When will a single company exceed the market cap of the entire Crypto Market?
3
150Ṁ642029
31%
Before year end 2025
21%
Jan 2026 - Jun 2026
10%
June 2026 - Dec 2026
9%
Jan 2027 - June 2027
9%
Jul 2027 - Dec 2027
20%
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the earliest specified date on which a single public company's market capitalization surpasses the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies.
Background
Currently at the time of writing as per Coinbase the market cap of cryptocurrency stands at 4.87T, and as per Yahoo Finance NVDA stands at 4.16T.
If any single companies market cap exceeds the cap at any point, the date this occurrence falls into will resolve Yes and all others resolve no. The options are inclusive of the edge months, for example any date within Dec 2027 would result in a YES resolution of that option. Provided this has not resolved by 2028, I will extend in 6 month increments following the same format
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which company will have the largest market cap as of 12/31/30?
Will the top company by market cap be at least five times larger than the next largest company by the end of 2027?
8% chance
Which company has the highest market cap on August 31, 2025?
Which company will have the largest market cap as of 12/31/50?
When will the combined market cap of crypto exceed the GDP of the largest country?
What company will be the largest by market cap at the start of 2026?
Which digital currency will have the highest market capitalization by 2028?
Will a new crypto memecoin reach $100 billion in market cap in 2025?
12% chance
What company will have the biggest market cap by the start of 2050?
Will any cryptocurrency have a higher market cap than Bitcoin on Jan. 1st, 2030?
14% chance