When will a single company exceed the market cap of the entire Crypto Market?
2
150Ṁ632029
34%
Before year end 2025
24%
Jan 2026 - Jun 2026
12%
June 2026 - Dec 2026
10%
Jan 2027 - June 2027
10%
Jul 2027 - Dec 2027
10%
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the earliest specified date on which a single public company's market capitalization surpasses the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies.
Background
Currently at the time of writing as per Coinbase the market cap of cryptocurrency stands at 4.87T, and as per Yahoo Finance NVDA stands at 4.16T.
If any single companies market cap exceeds the cap at any point, the date this occurrence falls into will resolve Yes and all others resolve no. The options are inclusive of the edge months, for example any date within Dec 2027 would result in a YES resolution of that option. Provided this has not resolved by 2028, I will extend in 6 month increments following the same format
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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