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MANIFOLD
Will Manifold prefer Nolan’s or Grok’s Odyssey?
9
Ṁ500Ṁ534
2027
Nolan (2026)92%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on which adaptation of Homer's The Odyssey is preferred by the Manifold community, subject to the following rules:

  1. Grok's Release Condition: Elon Musk pledged that Grok Imagine will produce a "full-length movie" of The Odyssey by the end of 2026. If a feature-length (at least 40 minutes long) adaptation of The Odyssey generated by Grok Imagine is not made publicly viewable on X or another platform by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, this market will automatically resolve to Nolan (2026).

  2. Community Preference Poll: If the Grok Imagine adaptation is successfully released by the deadline, the creator will pin a poll in the comments of this market (or link to a dedicated Manifold poll) asking: "Which version of The Odyssey do you prefer: Christopher Nolan's (2026) or Grok Imagine's?"

  3. Voting & Final Resolution: The poll will run for 7 days. The option receiving the most votes will resolve YES, and the other will resolve NO. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve 50/50.

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Wow, people are confident

bought Ṁ5 NO