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MANIFOLD
Will Andy Weir’s next novel take place in space?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ140
2030
34%
chance

Resolution criteria

The market will resolve to "Yes" if the next novel published by Andy Weir contains a setting primarily located in outer space (e.g., aboard a spacecraft, on a planet other than Earth, or a space station). It will resolve to "No" if the narrative is set primarily on Earth.

Resolution will be based on the official plot summary, author confirmation, or the published content of the book upon release. The market will resolve once the book is officially published or a definitive plot synopsis is released by the publisher or author via their official website (https://andyweirauthor.com/) or a major news outlet.

Background

Andy Weir, known for his hard science fiction, has confirmed in interviews (as of March 2026) that he is currently writing a new standalone science fiction novel. He has stated that this project involves artificial intelligence as a significant theme. Unlike The Martian and Project Hail Mary, which were heavily centered on space exploration and survival, Weir has not yet publicly disclosed the primary setting of this upcoming work. His previous novels have featured varied settings, ranging from the surface of Mars and a lunar colony (Artemis) to deep space.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
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