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MANIFOLD
Which of these people will attend the 2027 Oscars ceremony?
2
Ṁ1kṀ155
2027
82%
Leonardo DiCaprio
66%
Werner Herzog
52%
Elon Musk
50%
Jeff Bezos
50%
Madonna
50%
Jared Leto
34%
Emily Wilson
34%
Jack Nicholson
34%
Taylor Swift
34%
Daniel Day-Lewis
34%
Sean Penn
24%
Ariana Grande

You may suggest new options, which I may add. Please no obvious suggestions like crew and actors from nominated movies.

Resolution criteria

  • Each option corresponding to an individual will resolve to YES if they attend the 99th Academy Awards (the 2027 Oscars) ceremony, currently scheduled to take place on Sunday, March 14, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.

  • "Attending" is defined as being present inside the venue during the main ceremony or appearing on the official red carpet event preceding the ceremony.

  • Presence will be verified using official broadcast footage, photographic evidence from reputable agencies (such as Getty Images or Associated Press), or reports from major trade publications (such as Variety or The Hollywood Reporter).

  • Options for individuals who do not attend the ceremony will resolve to NO.

  • If the ceremony is postponed, this market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled event. If the ceremony is canceled entirely and does not take place in 2027, the market will resolve to N/A.

Market context
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