I smoke weed before January 1, 2026

103

1kṀ11k

Dec 31

41%

chance

ALL

This market resolves YES if the creator smokes cannabis/weed at any point between now (October 31, 2025) and December 31, 2025. This includes any form of cannabis consumption via smoking (joints, blunts, pipes, bongs, etc.). The creator's personal report will determine the outcome.

Resolution Criteria: Creator confirms whether they smoked weed at any point before January 1, 2026. This market resolves based on the creator's honest self-report.

Context: Approximately 15% of Americans are active marijuana users, with smoking being the most common consumption method at 79.4% among current users.

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@Ma12yam The first days are the hardest. May we get an update?

“Well, Stan, the truth is marijuana probably isn't gonna make you kill people, and...it most likely isn't gonna fund terrorism, but...well, son, pot makes you feel fine with being bored and...it's when you're bored that you should be learning some new skill or discovering some new science or...being creative. If you smoke pot you may grow up to find out that you aren't good at anything.”
— Randy Marsh

bought Ṁ50 NO

that's enough for me. @brod do you wanna bet more at 50%

opened a Ṁ1,500 YES at 42% order

@Bayesian would do low 40s, my fairs down a couple days in

makes sense. i'll do 45% (ping me anyone that is interested) but too cowardly to let the limit sit there in case market creator makes a comment

opened a Ṁ900 YES at 45% order

@Bayesian put a medium one for ya (900 @ 45) since its much less risky for yes limits in this market

bought Ṁ50 YES

Anyone wanna bring it down again? I got a few mana to spare

bought Ṁ10 NO

I bet “NO” because quitting MJ products was one of the best decisions I have ever made. I hope it’s one you make too, OP! I feel so much more like myself now.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Ma12yam What is (are) your reason(s) for quitting?

sold Ṁ59 YES

i believe in you! i sold my yes shares for a profit, and now i will bet no.

sold Ṁ8 YES

@realDonaldTrump my profit has a - in front of it for some reason. This platform is so buggy

day 2 of quitting and I'm feeling solid! was at a party last night where everyone was smoking but I passed. really appreciate all the support

sold Ṁ237 YES

@Ma12yam I sold my position. If you can handle that moment, you'll probably last for this market

@Ma12yam You can do this. Betting No for you and I hope you remember this market as inspiration. (Especially considering all your NO shares)

how easy is your access to weed? do you grow it or buy it from a shop or dealer

@brod I live in a legalized state, so it’s pretty easy to get

bought Ṁ50 YES

Wait. Does this include Thanksgiving too?

bought Ṁ100 YES

If you want more NO as you go to build incentive, I'm happy to be a counterparty. Big fan of personal goals markets! lmk

hey @Ma12yam check this out. One of the better resources on this topic imo.

https://www.uvm.edu/health/t-break-take-cannabis-tolerance-break

bought Ṁ250 YES

I suggest tapering off instead of cold turkey, limiting hits to just before bed. They have these time release little safes you can put your stash in. Going cold turkey if you're a heavy user is going to lead to feeling irritable.

bought Ṁ20 NO

I believe in you! Be kind to my mana investment!

Whether or not you should take or not take different drugs is a complicated question. However , it is a fairly simple truth that inhaling smoke is really bad for you.