Will there be a repeat election for the 2023 Dutch parliamentary elections?
Will there be a repeat election for the 2023 Dutch parliamentary elections?
resolved by
30
1kṀ17kresolved Jul 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Dutch parliamentary elections are called without a new government having been sworn in.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ478 | |
| 2 | Ṁ354 | |
| 3 | Ṁ169 | |
| 4 | Ṁ117 | |
| 5 | Ṁ75 |
Sort by:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Who will be the next Dutch prime minister?
Which parties will gain seats in the next Dutch General Election?
What Will Happen: Dutch Elections 2025
If elections are held, which party will be the biggest in the Dutch parliament elections of 2025.
Progressive parties gain seats in 2025 Dutch elections?
58% chance
Left-wing parties gain seats in 2025 Dutch elections?
64% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?
12% chance
Will a referendum on leaving the EU be announced before the next House (Tweede Kamer) elections in the Netherlands?
1% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?
23% chance